Brentwood TN Homes:Finance Market Update July 7th, 2008
Brentwood TN Homes
Mortgage bond prices rose slightly applying downward pressure on mortgage interest rates. Trading remained extremely volatile. Energy prices remained the focus. Inflation fears were fanned once again as oil prices hit record highs. Bonds found some support when the Dow Jones index continued to struggle. A relatively benign employment report did very little to move the financial markets. For the week, interest rates on government and conventional loans fell by about 1/8th of a discount point. The trade data Friday will be the most important event this week. The weekly jobless report will garner more attention this week than usual with the lack of other substantial data releases. Oil and stocks will also likely continue to factor into mortgage bond movements.
Economic Factors
Economic Indicator
Release Date Time
Consensus Estimate
Analysis
Consumer Credit
Tuesday, July 8, 2008
Up $7.0 billion
Low importance. A significantly larger than expected increase may lead to lower mortgage interest rates.
Weekly Jobless Claims
Thursday, July 10, 2008
383k
Important. An increase in jobless claims may bring lower rates.
Trade Data
Friday, July 11, 2008
$62.1 billion deficit
Important. Affects the value of the dollar. A falling deficit may strengthen the dollar and lead to lower rates.
U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Friday, July 11, 2008
56.0
Important. An indication of consumers' willingness to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.
Credit Demand
Inflation is typically the most important focus for the mortgage interest rate market. Unfortunately, mortgage interest rates continue to be pushed around by the fear of inflation. Most of the recent increases in interest rates have come following stronger than expected data despite uncertainly regarding the strength of the economy. The level of interest rates reflects the balance between the supply of money from investors and the demand for money by borrowers. Rising inflationary expectations cause investors to require higher rates of return on investments to compensate for the erosion of the principal that eventually is returned to them. Regardless of inflation levels, though, rising economic activity can increase the demand for investors' funds, and thereby lead to higher interest rates. Investors pulling money out of stocks and into bonds have recently helped mortgage rates. The demand for money diminishes as the economy struggles. The Fed lowers interest rates as an incentive to businesses and consumers to increase their borrowings. The Fed hopes manufacturers will increase their investments in plants, equipment and inventories and that consumers will push housing construction higher along with consumer spending and with that, consumer debt. The inverse is also true. Analysts will monitor this week's consumer credit levels for any indications that consumers may be tapped out. There is much debate in the financial community about the future. Economists, market analysts, and traders all seem to have a different opinion about the future state of the economy and especially the effects of rising energy prices. One thing most market participants agree on is both the bond and stock markets are going to see additional volatility. Now is a great time to take advantage of rates at the still historically favorable levels. *Courtesy Tonya Esquibel, WR Starkey Mortgage Franklin TN* Permission to re-publish granted . The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, there is no guarantee it is not without errors.
Vanessa StaletsBrentwood TN Homes
RE/MAX Elite
615-661-4400